Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 52.01%. A draw had a probability of 25.01% and a win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 22.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%) , while for a Dynamo Moscow win it was 0-1 (6.79%).