Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 (9.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.