Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.44% and a win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 18.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%) , while for a Dynamo Moscow win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.