Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 70.76%. A draw had a probability of 16.96% and a win for Shanghai Port had a probability of 12.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%) , while for a Shanghai Port win it was 0-1 (3.26%).