Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 52.53%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 23.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.1%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 (6.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.