Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Akron Tolyatti had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Akron Tolyatti win was 1-0 (8.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.