Club Friendlies 3
Feb 21, 2026 1.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT VEB Arena
  • Glebov 14' goal
  • Luciano Gondou 33' goal
  • yellowcard Aleksey Batrakov 60'
  • goal Batrakov 61'
  • goal 121'

CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv Moscow - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

CSKA Moscow

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 18, 2026 1.00pm
CSKA 3 - 1 Rostov

Lokomotiv Moscow

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 12.00pm
Lokomotiv 2 - 0 Yelimay Semey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-2 (6.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result

CSKA Moscow 46.51% (-0.04)
Draw 25.8% (+0.06)
Lokomotiv Moscow 27.69% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.92% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.95% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 21.05% (+0.27)
Over 2.5 56.33% (-0.31)
Under 2.5 43.67% (+0.31)
Over 3.5 33.83% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 66.17% (+0.22)
Over 4.5 20.03% (-0.19)
Under 4.5 79.97% (+0.19)

First Half Winner

CSKA Moscow 32.9% (-0.13)
Draw 41.9% (+0.04)
Lokomotiv Moscow 25.2% (+0.09)

Team To Score First

CSKA Moscow 54.72% (-0.04)
No Goal 5.74% (+0.08)
Lokomotiv Moscow 39.54% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 49.32% (-0.04)
Equal 8 12.2% (-0.02)
Under 8 38.47% (+0.04)
Over 9 37.69% (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.64%
Under 9 50.67% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 27.5% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 72.5% (+0.02)

CSKA Moscow Goals

Over 1.5 47.89% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 52.11% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 22.47% (-0.24)
Under 2.5 77.53% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 8.59% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 91.41% (+0.04)

Lokomotiv Moscow Goals

Over 0.5 65.96% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 34.04% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 33.03% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 66.97% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 12.7% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 87.3% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 4.1% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 95.9% (+0.16)

Score analysis

CSKA Moscow 46.5%
Draw 25.79%
Lokomotiv Moscow 27.7%
CSKA Moscow
2-1 @ 9.73% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 9.11% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 6.73% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 4.81% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.12% (-0.14)
3-2 @ 3.67% (-0.02)
Other @ 8.33% (-0.03)
Total : 46.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.2% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.31% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.74% (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.26% (-0.02)
Total : 25.79%
Lokomotiv Moscow
1-2 @ 6.66% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.19% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 3.69%
1-3 @ 2.67%
2-3 @ 2.65% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.84% (-0.15)
Total : 27.7%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League
Oct 18, 2025 5.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Russian Premier League Gameweek 29
May 19, 2025 6.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT RZD Arena
  • Dmitriy Vorobyev 10' goal
  • Dmitriy Vorobyev 25' goal
  • Maksim Nenakhov 49' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 41'
  • yellowcard Saul Guarirapa 41'
  • goal Saul Guarirapa 47'
  • goal Matvey Kislyak 80'
  • yellowcard Abbosbek Fayzullayev 88'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 5
Aug 18, 2024 3.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT VEB Arena
  • Milan Gajic 23' yellowcard
  • Tamerlan Musaev 28' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Evgeny Morozov 30'
  • yellowcard Artem Karpukas 38'
  • yellowcard Vadim Rakov 87'
  • goal Nayair Tiknizyan 90'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 24
Apr 13, 2024 5.30pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT RZD Arena
  • Maksim Glushenkov 24' yellowcard
  • Ilya Samoshnikov 44' goal
  • Evgeny Morozov 56' goal
  • Lucas Fasson 65' goal
  • Mario Mitaj 90' yellowcard
  • Lucas Fasson 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal <TBD> 22'
  • goal Tamerlan Musaev 53'
  • goal Anton Zabolotny 79'
  • goal Ilya Agapov 86'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 5, 2023 6.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT VEB Arena
  • Fedor Chalov 29' goal
  • Milan Gajic 31' goal
  • Maksim Mukhin 55' goal
  • Maksim Mukhin 63' goal
  • yellowcard Dmitriy Barinov 12'
  • goal Egor Pogostnov 61'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 24
Apr 23, 2023 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT VEB Arena
  • Anton Zabolotny 22' goal
  • goal Wilson Isidor 87'