Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 52.83%. A draw had a probability of 27.78% and a win for CSKA Moscow had a probability of 19.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.55%) , while for a CSKA Moscow win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.