Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 52.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 22.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.27%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%) , while for a Rostov win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.