Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 44.74%. A draw had a probability of 28.94% and a win for Rodina Moskva had a probability of 26.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.56%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.33%) , while for a Rodina Moskva win it was 0-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.