Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 36.58%. A win for Baltika had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 30.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.33%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Baltika win was 0-1 (12.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.