Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Baltika win with a probability of 45.95%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 26.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Baltika win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.95%) and 1-2 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%) , while for a Krylia Sovetov win it was 1-0 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.