Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Baltika win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Ordabasy had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Baltika win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Ordabasy win was 0-1 (9.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.