Club Friendlies 3
Feb 12, 2026 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Kaliningrad Stadium
  • Nathan Gassama 36' goal

Baltika vs Fakel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Baltika

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 12, 2026 8.00am
Baltika 0 - 0 Navbahor

Fakel

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 12, 2026 8.00am
Fakel 6 - 1 Zhenys

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Baltika win with a probability of 40.7%. A draw had a probability of 30.34% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 28.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Baltika win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.2%) and 2-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.96%) , while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood.

Result

Baltika 40.7% ▼ (-0.09)
Draw 30.34% ▼ (-0.65)
Fakel 28.96% ▲ (+0.70)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.75% ▲ (+0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 60.44% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 39.56% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 2.5 34.28% ▲ (+0.44)
Under 2.5 65.72% ▼ (-0.44)
Over 3.5 15.96% ▲ (+0.48)
Under 3.5 84.04% ▼ (-0.47)
Over 4.5 7.98% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 4.5 92.02% ▼ (-0.43)

First Half Winner

Baltika 30.67% ▲ (+0.28)
Draw 48.78% ▼ (-1.68)
Fakel 20.55% ▲ (+1.41)

Team To Score First

Baltika 49.99% ▼ (-2.20)
No Goal 13.96% ▲ (+0.38)
Fakel 36.05% ▲ (+1.83)

Corners

Over 8 26.74% ▲ (+0.56)
Equal 8 10.83% ▲ (+0.59)
Under 8 62.44% ▼ (-1.15)
Over 9 18.23% ▲ (+0.06)
Equal 9 8.5% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 9 73.26% ▼ (-0.56)
Over 10.5 12.03% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 10.5 87.97% ▲ (+0.32)

Baltika Goals

Over 1.5 31.51% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 1.5 68.49% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 2.5 10.95% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 2.5 89.05% ▼ (-0.46)
Over 3.5 3.23% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 96.77% ▼ (-0.13)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5 57.71%
Under 0.5 42.29%
Over 1.5 22.37% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 77.63% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 6.43% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 93.57% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 1.67% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 3.5 98.33% ▼ (-0.16)

Score analysis

Baltika 40.7%
Draw 30.35%
Fakel 28.97%
Baltika
1-0 @ 13.91% ▼ (-0.71)
2-0 @ 8.2% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 7.79% ▼ (-0.12)
3-0 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.15)
3-1 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.21)
3-2 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.21)
Other @ 3.22% ▲ (+0.15)
Total : 40.7%
Draw
0-0 @ 13.96% ▲ (+0.38)
1-1 @ 12.95% ▼ (-0.57)
2-2 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 0.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 30.35%
Fakel
0-1 @ 11.71% ▲ (+0.54)
1-2 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.15)
1-3 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.18)
Total : 28.97%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League Gameweek 17
Dec 2, 2023 11.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Ilnur Alshin 38' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Gassama 36'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Soto 69'
  • yellowcard Gedeon Guzina 82'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 6, 2023 3.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Rostov Arena
  • Vasily Cherov 8' goal
  • Tamerlan Musaev 48' goal
  • Tamerlan Musaev 81' yellowcard
  • Evgeny Latyshonok 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Vyacheslav Yakimov 14'
  • yellowcard Sergey Bryzgalov 34'
  • yellowcard Sergey Bozhin 79'
  • yellowcard Irakli Kvekveskiri 90'+3'