Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fakel win with a probability of 63.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.82% and a win for Sloga Doboj had a probability of 11.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fakel win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.52%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.8%) , while for a Sloga Doboj win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.