Club Friendlies 3
Jan 20, 2026 1.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Surdulica
  • goal Ilnur Alshin 6'

Radnik Surdulica vs Fakel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Radnik Surdulica

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 12.00pm
Radnik Surdulica 0 - 1 Luhansk

Fakel

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Radnik Surdulica win with a probability of 43.32%. A draw had a probability of 31.05% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 25.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Radnik Surdulica win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.71%) , while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result

Radnik Surdulica 43.32% (+0.10)
Draw 31.05% (+0.02)
Fakel 25.68% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.51% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 60.94% (+0.58)
Under 1.5 39.06% (-0.58)
Over 2.5 34.11% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 65.89% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 16.21% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 83.74% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 7.99% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 92.01% (+0.18)

First Half Winner

Radnik Surdulica 25.88% (+0.02)
Draw 55.99% (-0.04)
Fakel 18.12%

Team To Score First

Radnik Surdulica 48.52% (+1.10)
No Goal 12.86% (-0.39)
Fakel 38.62% (-0.72)

Corners

Over 8 40% (+4.25)
Equal 8 12.45% (+1.04)
Under 8 47.55% (-5.29)
Over 9 28.99% (+2.98)
Equal 9 11.01% (+1.27)
Under 9 60% (-4.24)
Over 10.5 20.05% (+1.75)
Under 10.5 79.95% (-1.74)

Radnik Surdulica Goals

Over 1.5 33.7% (+0.46)
Under 1.5 66.3% (-0.46)
Over 2.5 11.98% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 88.02% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 3.55% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 96.45% (-0.10)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5 56.61% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 43.39% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 20.56% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 79.44% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 5.78% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 94.22% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 1.37% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.63% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Radnik Surdulica 43.32%
Draw 31.05%
Fakel 25.68%
Radnik Surdulica
1-0 @ 15.17% (-0.15)
2-0 @ 8.77% (+0.34)
2-1 @ 8.22% (+0.20)
3-0 @ 3.24% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.32)
Other @ 3.4% (+0.09)
Total : 43.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.71% (+0.16)
0-0 @ 12.86% (-0.39)
2-2 @ 3.66% (+0.15)
Other @ 0.15% (+0.01)
Total : 31.05%
Fakel
0-1 @ 11.08% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 5.29% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 4.35% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 1.52% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.07% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.22% (-0.04)
Total : 25.68%