Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Radnik Surdulica win with a probability of 43.32%. A draw had a probability of 31.05% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 25.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Radnik Surdulica win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.71%) , while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.