Club Friendlies 3
Jan 27, 2026 2.00pm
Stade Municipal 1

Nizhny Novgorod vs Fakel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nizhny Novgorod

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 12.00pm
Nizhny Novgorod 0 - 1 Chelyabinsk

Fakel

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 27, 2026 8.00am
Fakel 3 - 3 Qizilqum

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fakel win with a probability of 47.88%. A draw has a probability of 31.12% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod has a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fakel win is 0-1 with a probability of 15.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.96%) and 1-2 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (14.49%) , while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it is 1-0 (8.89%).

Result

Nizhny Novgorod 21%
Draw 31.12%
Fakel 47.88%

Both Teams to Score: 

39.63%

Goals

Over 1.5 60.67% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 39.33% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 35.14% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 64.86% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 16.01%
Under 3.5 83.99%
Over 4.5 8.27% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 91.73% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Nizhny Novgorod 17.41%
Draw 51.87%
Fakel 30.72%

Team To Score First

Nizhny Novgorod 33.02% (+0.02)
No Goal 14.49% (-0.01)
Fakel 52.49%

Corners

Over 8 30.97%
Equal 8 11.22%
Under 8 57.81%
Over 9 21.79%
Equal 9 9.18%
Under 9 69.03%
Over 10.5 14.83%
Under 10.5 85.17%

Nizhny Novgorod Goals

Over 1.5 17.88% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 82.12% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 5% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 95% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.28% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.72% (-0.02)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5 71.28% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 28.72% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 36.88% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 63.12% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 14.52% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 85.48% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.51% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.49% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Nizhny Novgorod 21.01%
Draw 31.13%
Fakel 47.88%
Nizhny Novgorod
1-0 @ 8.89% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 4.86% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 3.19% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.21%
3-0 @ 1.2% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 21.01%
Draw
0-0 @ 14.49% (-0.01)
1-1 @ 12.36%
2-2 @ 3.35% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.31% (+0.02)
Total : 31.13%
Fakel
0-1 @ 15.97% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 9.96% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.36% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.71% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 47.88%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League Gameweek 29
May 17, 2025 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion Nizhny Novgorod
  • Juan Boselli 39' yellowcard
  • Juan Boselli 43' redcard
  • Vyacheslav Grulyov 67' goal
  • Nikita Medvedev 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Ilnur Alshin 18'
  • goal Ilnur Alshin 18'
  • yellowcard Ilnur Alshin 21'
  • yellowcard Igor Yurganov 57'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 8
Sep 14, 2024 12.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Mohamed Brahimi 31' yellowcard
  • Irakli Kvekveskiri 43' yellowcard
  • Aleksey Kashtanov 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nikolay Kalinsky 35'
  • yellowcard Nikita Kakkoev 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Juan Boselli 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Mateo Stamatov 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Mateo Stamatov 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Nikita Ermakov 90'+8'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 19
Mar 3, 2024 11.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Municipal 1
  • Mamadou Maiga 22' yellowcard
  • Jose Correia 56' yellowcard
  • Kirill Gotsuk 64' goal
  • Nikita Kakkoev 85' yellowcard
  • goal Vyacheslav Yakimov 23'
  • yellowcard Vasily Cherov 35'
  • yellowcard Ihor Kalinin 59'
  • yellowcard Vladislav Masternoy 77'
  • yellowcard Vyacheslav Yakimov 80'
  • yellowcard Nichita Motpan 85'
  • yellowcard Aleksandr Belenov 90'+1'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2023 3.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • 22' goal
  • Yevgeni Markov 75' goal
  • Aleksandr Dolgov 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Viktor Aleksandrov 52'
  • redcard Viktor Aleksandrov 56'
  • yellowcard Lucas Masoero 60'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 27
May 14, 2023 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Roman Akbashev 67' goal
Russian Premier League Gameweek 8
Sep 3, 2022 1.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Municipal 1
  • Ilya Agapov 36' yellowcard
  • Albert Sharipov 44' yellowcard
  • Ibrokhimhalil Yoldoshev 50' yellowcard
  • Nikolay Kalinsky 66' goal
  • Nikolay Kalinsky 73' goal
  • Milson 89' yellowcard
  • Milson 90'+7' goal
  • goal Maksim Maksimov 5'
  • yellowcard Andrey Mendel 78'
  • yellowcard Ruslan Magal 82'