Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Baltika win with a probability of 55.3%. A draw had a probability of 25.21% and a win for Navbahor had a probability of 19.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Baltika win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%) , while for a Navbahor win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.