Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Navbahor win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Napredak had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Navbahor win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Napredak win was 1-0 (8.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.