Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tobol win with a probability of 58.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Napredak had a probability of 19.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tobol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (10.38%) and 0-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%) , while for a Napredak win it was 1-0 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.