Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for Tobol had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Tobol win was 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for St Gallen in this match.