Club Friendlies 3
Feb 18, 2026 2.00pm
Kaliningrad Stadium

Baltika vs Akhmat Grozny - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Baltika

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 12, 2026 2.00pm
Baltika 1 - 0 Fakel

Akhmat Grozny

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 18, 2026 12.00am
Akhmat Grozny 0 - 0 OFK Beograd

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Baltika win with a probability of 42.29%. A draw has a probability of 29.24% and a win for Akhmat Grozny has a probability of 28.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Baltika win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.12%) and 2-1 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.54%) , while for a Akhmat Grozny win it is 0-1 (10.28%).

Result

Baltika 42.29% (+0.62)
Draw 29.24% (+1.00)
Akhmat Grozny 28.46% (-1.62)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.79% (+0.16)

Goals

Over 1.5 63.64% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 36.36% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 38.34% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 61.61% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 18.91% (+0.31)
Under 3.5 81.09% (-0.30)
Over 4.5 9.96% (+0.22)
Under 4.5 90.04% (-0.21)

First Half Winner

Baltika 35.06% (+4.45)
Draw 46.37% (-2.28)
Akhmat Grozny 18.57% (-2.17)

Team To Score First

Baltika 53.83% (+2.09)
No Goal 12.32% (+0.42)
Akhmat Grozny 33.85% (-2.51)

Corners

Over 8 24.55% (+3.57)
Equal 8 9.92% (+0.77)
Under 8 65.54% (-4.33)
Over 9 16.93% (+2.70)
Equal 9 7.61% (+0.87)
Under 9 75.45% (-3.57)
Over 10.5 11.46% (+1.93)
Under 10.5 88.54% (-1.92)

Baltika Goals

Over 1.5 34.37% (+0.93)
Under 1.5 65.63% (-0.94)
Over 2.5 13.18% (+0.41)
Under 2.5 86.82% (-0.41)
Over 3.5 4.15% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 95.85% (-0.16)

Akhmat Grozny Goals

Over 0.5 58.14% (-0.94)
Under 0.5 41.86% (+0.94)
Over 1.5 24.36% (-0.63)
Under 1.5 75.64% (+0.63)
Over 2.5 7.91% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 92.09% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 2.1% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.9% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Baltika 42.29%
Draw 29.25%
Akhmat Grozny 28.46%
Baltika
1-0 @ 13.76% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 8.12% (+0.27)
2-1 @ 7.82% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 3.57% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 3.14% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.79% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.09% (+0.10)
Total : 42.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.54% (+0.13)
0-0 @ 12.32% (+0.42)
2-2 @ 3.8% (+0.20)
Other @ 0.06% (+0.05)
Total : 29.25%
Akhmat Grozny
0-1 @ 10.28% (-0.54)
1-2 @ 6.23% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.47)
1-3 @ 2.01% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.35)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.04% (-0.11)
Total : 28.46%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League
Nov 2, 2025 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Russian Premier League Gameweek 24
Apr 13, 2024 2.30pm
1
7
HT : 0 5
FT Akhmat Arena
  • Artem Timofeev 13' yellowcard
  • Vladislav Kamilov 68' yellowcard
  • Svetoslav Kovachev 75' goal
  • goal Angelo Henriquez 4'
  • goal Alex Fernandes 8'
  • goal Yury Kavalyow 10'
  • goal Vitali Lisakovich 34'
  • goal Alex Fernandes 41'
  • goal Alex Fernandes 84'
  • yellowcard Diego Luna 86'
  • goal Maksim Kuzmin 89'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 9
Sep 23, 2023 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Baltika Stadium
  • Evgeny Kharin 43' goal
  • Kirill Malyarov 51' yellowcard