Club Friendlies 3
Feb 18, 2026 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Kaliningrad Stadium
  • Brayan Gil 19' yellowcard
  • B. Gil 19' yellowcard
  • Brayan Gil 36' goal
  • B. Gil 36' goal
  • goal Ousmane Ndong 44'
  • goal Ousmane N’Dong 44'
  • goal Lechii Sadulaev 68'
  • goal Lechi Sadulaev 68'

Baltika vs Akhmat Grozny - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Baltika

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 18, 2026 8.00am
Baltika 2 - 1 Kaisar

Akhmat Grozny

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 18, 2026 2.00pm
Akhmat Grozny 3 - 0 OFK Beograd

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Baltika win with a probability of 42.81%. A draw had a probability of 29.52% and a win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 27.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Baltika win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 2-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.59%) , while for a Akhmat Grozny win it was 0-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result

Baltika 42.81% (+0.53)
Draw 29.52% (+0.29)
Akhmat Grozny 27.67% (-0.79)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.4% (-1.40)

Goals

Over 1.5 62.26% (-1.39)
Under 1.5 37.74% (+1.39)
Over 2.5 37.03% (-1.32)
Under 2.5 62.97% (+1.36)
Over 3.5 17.8% (-1.11)
Under 3.5 82.2% (+1.11)
Over 4.5 9.39% (-0.58)
Under 4.5 90.61% (+0.57)

First Half Winner

Baltika 35.83% (+0.77)
Draw 45.68% (-0.69)
Akhmat Grozny 18.49% (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Baltika 55.02% (+1.20)
No Goal 12.59% (+0.27)
Akhmat Grozny 32.39% (-1.47)

Corners

Over 8 24.41% (-0.15)
Equal 8 9.83% (-0.09)
Under 8 65.76% (+0.22)
Over 9 16.88% (-0.06)
Equal 9 7.54% (-0.08)
Under 9 75.59% (+0.15)
Over 10.5 11.46%
Under 10.5 88.54%

Baltika Goals

Over 1.5 33.64% (-0.73)
Under 1.5 66.36% (+0.74)
Over 2.5 12.67% (-0.51)
Under 2.5 87.33% (+0.52)
Over 3.5 3.89% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 96.11% (+0.27)

Akhmat Grozny Goals

Over 0.5 56.92% (-1.22)
Under 0.5 43.08% (+1.22)
Over 1.5 23.44% (-0.92)
Under 1.5 76.56% (+0.93)
Over 2.5 7.72% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 92.28% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 2.15% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.85% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Baltika 42.81%
Draw 29.52%
Akhmat Grozny 27.66%
Baltika
1-0 @ 14.91% (+1.16)
2-0 @ 8.18% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 7.81% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.67% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 2.92% (-0.23)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.19)
Other @ 3.72% (-0.37)
Total : 42.81%
Draw
0-0 @ 12.59% (+0.27)
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.65% (-0.15)
Other @ 0.17% (+0.12)
Total : 29.52%
Akhmat Grozny
0-1 @ 10.23% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 5.93% (-0.31)
0-2 @ 4.54% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 1.83% (-0.18)
0-3 @ 1.82%
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.12)
Other @ 1.98% (-0.07)
Total : 27.66%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League
Nov 2, 2025 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Russian Premier League Gameweek 24
Apr 13, 2024 2.30pm
1
7
HT : 0 5
FT Akhmat Arena
  • Artem Timofeev 13' yellowcard
  • Vladislav Kamilov 68' yellowcard
  • Svetoslav Kovachev 75' goal
  • goal Angelo Henriquez 4'
  • goal Alex Fernandes 8'
  • goal Yury Kavalyow 10'
  • goal Vitali Lisakovich 34'
  • goal Alex Fernandes 41'
  • goal Alex Fernandes 84'
  • yellowcard Diego Luna 86'
  • goal Maksim Kuzmin 89'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 9
Sep 23, 2023 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Baltika Stadium
  • Evgeny Kharin 43' goal
  • Kirill Malyarov 51' yellowcard