Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 58.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.04% and a win for Baltika had a probability of 16.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.09%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%) , while for a Baltika win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood.