Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 60.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.79% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 15.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.48%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%) , while for a Rostov win it was 0-1 (6.38%).