Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 60.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for FC Pyunik had a probability of 17.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.3%) and 2-0 (10.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%) , while for a FC Pyunik win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.