Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Riga FC win with a probability of 65.08%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for FC Pyunik had a probability of 17.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Riga FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 1-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%) , while for a FC Pyunik win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.