Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Riga FC win with a probability of 64.27%. A win for Zilina had a probability of 17.88% and a draw had a probability of 17.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Riga FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 1-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Zilina win was 1-2 (5.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.