Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 61.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.76% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 17.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (10.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%) , while for a Rostov win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.