Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Baltika had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Baltika win was 1-0 (9.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.