Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 28.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Rostov win was 1-0 (10.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.