Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 58.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.81% and a win for Dynamo Makhachkala had a probability of 17.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%) , while for a Dynamo Makhachkala win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.