Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Makhachkala win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Makhachkala win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Sochi win was 1-0 (10.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.