Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Makhachkala win with a probability of 49.14%. A draw had a probability of 28.12% and a win for Atyrau had a probability of 22.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Makhachkala win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%) , while for a Atyrau win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.