Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IMT Novi Beograd win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Dynamo Makhachkala had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a IMT Novi Beograd win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Dynamo Makhachkala win was 0-1 (9.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.