Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Makhachkala win with a probability of 49.03%. A draw had a probability of 26.88% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 24.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Makhachkala win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%) , while for a Orenburg win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.