Russian Premier League Gameweek 19
Feb 28, 2026 9.00am
Stadion Gazovik

Orenburg vs Akron Tolyatti - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Orenburg

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Dec 5, 2025 4.00pm
Akhmat Grozny 1 - 0 Orenburg
Goals scored
17

Akron Tolyatti

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 4.30pm
Zenit 2 - 0 Akron
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Artem Dzyuba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Orenburg win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Akron Tolyatti has a probability of 31.56% and a draw has a probability of 27.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Akron Tolyatti win is 0-1 (10.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.68%).

Result

Orenburg 40.55% (-0.04)
Draw 27.89% (+0.04)
Akron Tolyatti 31.56%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.45%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.09% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 30.91% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 43.81% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 56.19% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 23.23% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 76.77% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 12.21% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 87.79% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Orenburg 29.29%
Draw 45%
Akron Tolyatti 25.72%

Team To Score First

Orenburg 47.7%
No Goal 9.47% (-0.01)
Akron Tolyatti 42.83% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 38.06%
Equal 8 11.98%
Under 8 49.96%
Over 9 27.64%
Equal 9 10.43%
Under 9 61.94%
Over 10.5 19.26%
Under 10.5 80.74%

Orenburg Goals

Over 1.5 36.94% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 63.06% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 14.88% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 85.12% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 4.67%
Under 3.5 95.33%

Akron Tolyatti Goals

Over 0.5 64.14% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 35.86% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 29.15% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 70.85% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 10.29% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 89.71% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.93%
Under 3.5 97.07%

Score analysis

Orenburg 40.56%
Draw 27.9%
Akron Tolyatti 31.56%
Orenburg
1-0 @ 11.18% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.24%
2-0 @ 7.38% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.79%
3-0 @ 3.4%
3-2 @ 2.12%
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 40.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.68% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 9.47% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.63% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 27.9%
Akron Tolyatti
0-1 @ 10.28% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.9%
0-2 @ 5.21% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.61% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 1.81% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 31.56%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League
Aug 17, 2025 11.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Russian Premier League Gameweek 17
Nov 30, 2024 11.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Samara Arena
  • Stefan Loncar 43' yellowcard
  • Konstantin Savichev 50' yellowcard
  • Stefan Loncar 60' goal
  • Dmitri Pestryakov 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jimmy Marin 45'+1'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 4
Aug 10, 2024 3.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • David Deogracia 5' yellowcard
  • Mohammad Ghorbani 32' yellowcard
  • Saeid Saharkhizan Gendishmin 48' goal
  • Mohammad Ghorbani 61' goal
  • Matias Perez 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Konstantin Savichev 4'
  • goal Konstantin Savichev 45'+3'
  • goal Kirill Danilin 65'