Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akron Tolyatti win with a probability of 59.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.86% and a win for Rodina Moskva II had a probability of 16.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Akron Tolyatti win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%) , while for a Rodina Moskva II win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.