Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akron Tolyatti win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Dinamo Samarqand had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Akron Tolyatti win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Dinamo Samarqand win was 0-1 (7.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.