Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akron Tolyatti win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Dalian Zhixing had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Akron Tolyatti win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Dalian Zhixing win was 0-1 (8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.