Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 49.44%. A draw had a probability of 27.36% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%) , while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.