Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nizhny Novgorod win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nizhny Novgorod win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Yenisey Krasnoyarsk win was 1-0 (8.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.