Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yenisey Krasnoyarsk win with a probability of 46.51%. A draw had a probability of 28.98% and a win for Chayka had a probability of 24.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yenisey Krasnoyarsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%) , while for a Chayka win it was 0-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.