Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotor Volgograd win with a probability of 55.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.84% and a win for Chayka had a probability of 17.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotor Volgograd win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%) , while for a Chayka win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.