Club Friendlies 3
Jan 31, 2026 10.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Gorelov 83' goal

Orenburg vs Mornar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Orenburg

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 4.00pm
Orenburg 0 - 0 Borac Banja Luka

Mornar

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 46.41%. A draw had a probability of 28.32% and a win for Mornar had a probability of 25.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%) , while for a Mornar win it was 0-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result

Orenburg 46.41% (+0.03)
Draw 28.32% (+0.02)
Mornar 25.27% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.47% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.74% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 32.26% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 42.92% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 57.08% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 22.52% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 77.48% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 11.96% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 88.04% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Orenburg 30.75% (-0.04)
Draw 47.01% (+0.02)
Mornar 22.24% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Orenburg 49.52% (-0.02)
No Goal 11.06% (+0.01)
Mornar 39.42% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 39.05% (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.71%
Under 8 49.24% (-0.02)
Over 9 28.77% (+0.02)
Equal 9 10.28%
Under 9 60.95% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 20.42% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 79.58% (-0.02)

Orenburg Goals

Over 1.5 40.21% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 59.79% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 17.38% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 82.62% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 5.64% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.36% (+0.02)

Mornar Goals

Over 0.5 58.35%
Under 0.5 41.65%
Over 1.5 24.13% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 75.87% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 6.72% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 93.28% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.84% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.16% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Orenburg 46.4%
Draw 28.33%
Mornar 25.27%
Orenburg
1-0 @ 12.45%
2-1 @ 8.85% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.35% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.35%
3-0 @ 4.16% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.63% (-0.01)
Total : 46.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.27% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 11.06% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.37% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.33%
Mornar
0-1 @ 8.75%
1-2 @ 6.23% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.2% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.84%
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.16% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.83% (-0.02)
Total : 25.27%