Club Friendlies 3
Feb 6, 2026 10.00am
Stadion Gazovik

Orenburg vs Arsenal Tula - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Orenburg

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 8.00am
Orenburg 1 - 0 Mornar

Arsenal Tula

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 2, 2026 1.00pm
Arsenal Tula 0 - 4 Makhachkala

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Orenburg win with a probability of 41.57%. A draw has a probability of 30.96% and a win for Arsenal Tula has a probability of 27.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (13.74%) , while for a Arsenal Tula win it is 0-1 (10.23%).

Result

Orenburg 41.57%
Draw 30.96%
Arsenal Tula 27.47% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.75% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 63.21% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 36.79% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 37.39% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 62.61% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 17.48% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 82.47% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 9.1% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 90.9% (+0.06)

First Half Winner

Orenburg 25.81%
Draw 54.46% (-0.02)
Arsenal Tula 19.73% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Orenburg 48.67% (-0.06)
No Goal 13.74% (+0.05)
Arsenal Tula 37.59% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 16.61% (+0.01)
Equal 8 7.01%
Under 8 76.38% (-0.02)
Over 9 11.74% (+0.01)
Equal 9 4.87%
Under 9 83.39% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 8.47%
Under 10.5 91.52% (-0.02)

Orenburg Goals

Over 1.5 33.97% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 66.03% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 12.97% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 87.03% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.81% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.19% (+0.02)

Arsenal Tula Goals

Over 0.5 57.9% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 42.1% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 23.21% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 76.79% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 6.91% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 93.09% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 1.78% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.22% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Orenburg 41.58%
Draw 30.97%
Arsenal Tula 27.47%
Orenburg
1-0 @ 12.84% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.28% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8%
3-0 @ 3.74% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.8% (-0.02)
Total : 41.58%
Draw
0-0 @ 13.74% (+0.05)
1-1 @ 13.14% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.58%
Other @ 0.01% (-0.01)
Total : 30.97%
Arsenal Tula
0-1 @ 10.23% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.17% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.67%
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.72% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.77% (-0.02)
Total : 27.47%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League Gameweek 21
Mar 7, 2020 11.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Gazovik Stadium
  • Dorde Despotovic 13' goal
  • Islambek Kuat 51' yellowcard
  • Dorde Despotovic 77' goal
  • Joel Fameyeh 81' yellowcard
  • Timur Ayupov 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gia Grigalava 16'
  • yellowcard Goran Causic 44'
  • yellowcard Aleksandr Lomovitski 50'
  • yellowcard Robert Bauer 65'
  • yellowcard Kirill Kombarov 70'
  • redcard Robert Bauer 75'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 7
Aug 25, 2019 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Aleksandr Lomovitski 23' goal
  • Evgeniy Lutsenko 69' goal
  • yellowcard Dorde Despotovic 22'
  • goal Dorde Despotovic 52'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 26
Apr 29, 2019 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Gazovik (Rostoshi)
  • Vadim Afonin 15' yellowcard
  • Nikita Malyarov 22' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Alves 78' goal
  • Ricardo Alves 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kadri Mohammed 41'
  • goal Luka Dordevic 62'
  • yellowcard Reziuan Mirzov 88'
  • yellowcard Gia Grigalava 91'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 12
Oct 27, 2018 2.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Arsenal (Tula)
  • Igor Gorbatenko 21' yellowcard
  • Reziuan Mirzov 42' goal
  • Luka Dordevic 64' goal
  • Sergei Tkachev 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adessoye Oyewole 38'
  • yellowcard Mikhail Sivakov 50'
  • goal Sergey Terekhov 61'
  • goal Denis Popovic 76'
  • yellowcard Denis Popovic 85'