Club Friendlies 3
Feb 20, 2026 10.00am
Stadion Gazovik

Orenburg vs Rodina Moskva - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Orenburg

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 13, 2026 4.00pm
Orenburg 0 - 0 Nizhny Novgorod

Rodina Moskva

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 3.00pm
Sochi 1 - 1 Rodina Moskva

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 50.98%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Rodina Moskva had a probability of 21.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%) , while for a Rodina Moskva win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result

Orenburg 50.98%
Draw 27.8%
Rodina Moskva 21.23%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.74%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.09%
Under 1.5 30.91%
Over 2.5 43.7%
Under 2.5 56.3%
Over 3.5 22.69%
Under 3.5 77.31%
Over 4.5 12.88%
Under 4.5 87.12%

First Half Winner

Orenburg 35.6%
Draw 46.52%
Rodina Moskva 17.88%

Team To Score First

Orenburg 58.72%
No Goal 10.41%
Rodina Moskva 30.87%

Corners

Over 8 24.05%
Equal 8 9.62%
Under 8 66.34%
Over 9 16.73%
Equal 9 7.32%
Under 9 75.95%
Over 10.5 11.51%
Under 10.5 88.49%

Orenburg Goals

Over 1.5 44.02%
Under 1.5 55.98%
Over 2.5 19.73%
Under 2.5 80.27%
Over 3.5 7.52%
Under 3.5 92.48%

Rodina Moskva Goals

Over 0.5 54.21%
Under 0.5 45.79%
Over 1.5 20.57%
Under 1.5 79.43%
Over 2.5 5.96%
Under 2.5 94.04%
Over 3.5 1.51%
Under 3.5 98.49%

Score analysis

Orenburg 50.99%
Draw 27.8%
Rodina Moskva 21.22%
Orenburg
1-0 @ 12.97%
2-0 @ 9.72%
2-1 @ 9.31%
3-0 @ 5.25%
3-1 @ 4.22%
3-2 @ 2.07%
Other @ 7.45%
Total : 50.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 10.41%
2-2 @ 4.08%
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 27.8%
Rodina Moskva
0-1 @ 7.54%
1-2 @ 5.36%
0-2 @ 3.1%
1-3 @ 1.51%
2-3 @ 1.18%
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 21.22%