Club Friendlies 3
Feb 20, 2026 8.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Ak Bars Arena
  • goal Bolotov 30'

Rubin Kazan vs Orenburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rubin Kazan

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 1.30pm
Rubin Kazan 2 - 0 Pakhtakor

Orenburg

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 13, 2026 2.00pm
Orenburg 0 - 1 Kairat

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 60.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.12% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 16.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%) , while for a Orenburg win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result

Rubin Kazan 60.79% (-0.11)
Draw 23.12% (+0.05)
Orenburg 16.08% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.69% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.88% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 30.12% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 45.84% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 54.16% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 25.24% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 74.76% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 15.27% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 84.73% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Rubin Kazan 40.94%
Draw 41.78%
Orenburg 17.28%

Team To Score First

Rubin Kazan 62.23% (-0.03)
No Goal 8.66% (+0.02)
Orenburg 29.11%

Corners

Over 8 38.81%
Equal 8 11.45%
Under 8 49.74%
Over 9 28.76%
Equal 9 10.05%
Under 9 61.19%
Over 10.5 20.59%
Under 10.5 79.41%

Rubin Kazan Goals

Over 1.5 50.87% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 49.13% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 25.43% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 74.57% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 9.96% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 90.04% (+0.03)

Orenburg Goals

Over 0.5 47.22% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 52.78% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 16.76% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 83.24% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 4.72% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 95.28% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.28%
Under 3.5 98.72%

Score analysis

Rubin Kazan 60.78%
Draw 23.12%
Orenburg 16.1%
Rubin Kazan
1-0 @ 15.4% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 11.48% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.17%
3-0 @ 7.41% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.01)
Other @ 9.83% (-0.03)
Total : 60.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.15% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.66% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.61% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.13% (+0.02)
Total : 23.12%
Orenburg
0-1 @ 6.06% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 3.61% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.41%
1-3 @ 1.28% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.15% (-0.02)
Total : 16.1%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League
Aug 30, 2025 12.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Russian Premier League Gameweek 30
May 24, 2025 2.30pm
4
2
HT : 3 2
FT Kazan' Arena
  • Dardan Shabanhaxhaj 5' goal
  • Mirlind Daku 7' goal
  • Dardan Shabanhaxhaj 24' goal
  • Dardan Shabanhaxhaj 56' yellowcard
  • Veldin Hodza 61' yellowcard
  • Bogdan Jocic 88' goal
  • goal Jimmy Marin 11'
  • yellowcard Yaroslav Mikhailov 18'
  • goal Braian Mansilla 22'
  • yellowcard Danila Prokhin 56'
  • yellowcard Kazimcan Karatas 74'
  • yellowcard Artem Kasimov 87'
  • yellowcard Saeid Saharkhizan Gendishmin 89'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 13
Oct 27, 2024 9.00am
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Saeid Saharkhizan Gendishmin 27' goal
  • Braian Mansilla 76' yellowcard
  • Ivan Basic 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dmitry Kabutov 33'
  • goal Veldin Hodza 48'
  • yellowcard Egor Teslenko 64'
  • goal Veldin Hodza 87'
  • yellowcard Veldin Hodza 88'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 23
Apr 8, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • David Deogracia 35' yellowcard
  • Dmitriy Vorobyev 58' goal
  • Dmitriy Vorobyev 65' yellowcard
  • Aleksandr Zotov 82' yellowcard
  • Danila Khotulev 87' goal
  • Jimmy Marin 89' goal
  • Jimmy Marin 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jimmy Marin 85'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 2
Jul 30, 2023 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Kazan' Arena
  • Joel Fameyeh 35' goal
  • Uguchukwu Iwu 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Vera 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Matias Perez 56'
  • goal Matias Perez 81'
  • yellowcard Leo Goglichidze 90'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 26
Jul 5, 2020 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Kazan Arena
  • Denis Makarov 67' goal
  • Ilya Samoshnikov 85' yellowcard
  • Carl Starfelt 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Artyom Kulishev 22'
  • yellowcard Georgy Zotov 72'