Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 60.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.12% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 16.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%) , while for a Orenburg win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.