Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 48.7%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Zhenys had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%) , while for a Zhenys win it was 0-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.