Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kauno Zalgiris win with a probability of 63.55%. A draw had a probability of 19.97% and a win for Zhenys had a probability of 16.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kauno Zalgiris win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (10.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%) , while for a Zhenys win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.