Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IMT Novi Beograd win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a IMT Novi Beograd win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 (9.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.